Wörgl vs Fügen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
10º
10º
32
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
5 - 1
WOR
16%
20%
64%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HAL
0 - 3
WOR
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 2
WAT
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
KUF
2 - 1
WOR
24%
22%
54%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
WOR
1 - 0
KIT
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fügen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
FUG
4 - 1
HAL
58%
20%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
FUG
53%
21%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
FUG
2 - 2
KUF
20%
19%
61%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KIT
2 - 0
FUG
80%
14%
7%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FUG
0 - 2
KUN
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |