Wörgl vs Volders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
20.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
12º
43
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
2 - 0
KUN
72%
16%
13%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TEL
4 - 0
WOR
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
3 - 3
VOL
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
IAC
1 - 3
WOR
33%
20%
47%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 3
WAT
33%
23%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Volders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
3 - 0
TEL
11%
19%
70%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
VOL
5 - 0
FCV
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
3 - 2
IAC
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
FCV
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
0 - 0
STJ
42%
23%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |