Wörgl vs Bad Bleiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
BBL
2 - 1
WOR
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
2 - 0
LUS
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
WIE
3 - 1
WOR
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
WOR
2 - 1
LAS
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
LBN
6 - 1
WOR
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Bleiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
BBL
2 - 1
WOR
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2003 |
UNT
4 - 1
BBL
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
BBL
1 - 1
SCA
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
MAT
2 - 0
BBL
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
BBL
1 - 1
KAP
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |