Wörgl vs Bad Bleiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2001 |
3 - 1
WOR
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
WOR
5 - 3
LBN
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
MAT
2 - 2
WOR
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2001 |
VIE
2 - 3
WOR
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
WOR
1 - 1
FCK
31%
25%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bad Bleiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2001 |
BBL
1 - 0
LBN
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2001 |
UNT
2 - 3
BBL
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
BBL
2 - 0
VIE
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SCA
1 - 2
BBL
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
BBL
3 - 0
WAT
70%
18%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |