Worcester City vs Lye Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 1
WOR
12%
19%
70%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
WOR
1 - 1
HIU
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WOR
3 - 3
WUL
64%
18%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
COV
4 - 1
WOR
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 3
RFC
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lye Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LIC
2 - 0
LYE
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BEW
0 - 2
LYE
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SOA
3 - 2
LYE
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LYE
2 - 3
HAN
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
RED
6 - 1
LYE
66%
18%
17%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |