Worcester City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WOR
4 - 1
EAS
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CHM
1 - 0
WOR
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
WOR
1 - 2
LEW
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
WOR
0 - 2
BAT
27%
26%
46%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
STA
0 - 1
WOR
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GAI
2 - 0
BLY
49%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
RFC
2 - 1
GAI
38%
27%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BLY
2 - 1
GAI
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GAI
1 - 1
HIN
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
EAS
1 - 0
GAI
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |