Worcester City vs Coventry Sphinx analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
WOR
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
WOR
4 - 0
WOR
37%
26%
38%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 2
GAI
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
COL
0 - 0
WOR
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 2
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Coventry Sphinx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
COV
2 - 1
TIV
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
COV
2 - 1
LYE
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BEW
0 - 3
COV
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |