Worcester City vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 4
FYL
34%
27%
40%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 4
WOR
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 0
GAI
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 1
GUI
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
3 - 3
WOR
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
OXF
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
STA
0 - 1
BAR
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
STO
0 - 1
BAR
35%
24%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 2
BAR
27%
24%
50%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
SOL
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |