Worcester City vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
59.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
CHE
14%
21%
66%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
WOR
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BIS
0 - 1
WOR
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
3 - 1
HIN
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 0
WOR
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
ALT
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 1
BRA
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
6 - 0
DRO
81%
13%
7%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 0
HAL
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 6
ALT
14%
19%
67%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |