Worcester City vs AFC Wulfrunians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 1
WOR
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
UTF
1 - 2
WOR
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WOR
0 - 4
DTF
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
WOR
3 - 1
SHT
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WOR
0 - 0
LIC
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wulfrunians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WUL
1 - 2
STO
35%
22%
42%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HIU
3 - 0
WUL
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 1
WUL
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
WUL
2 - 5
WAL
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
TIV
2 - 2
WUL
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |