FA Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Wolves vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
COL
2 - 1
WOL
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
DER
0 - 2
WOL
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
WOL
2 - 2
NOR
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
QPR
0 - 1
WOL
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
OLD
5 - 0
NTT
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
GIL
0 - 3
OLD
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
ROT
2 - 3
OLD
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
OLD
3 - 0
NOR
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
OLD
1 - 1
BHA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |