Wolves U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
9º
9º
44
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolves U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MID
2 - 3
WOL
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
5 - 2
BLA
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 1
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LEE
1 - 2
WOL
44%
22%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 4
WOL
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DER
6 - 2
STO
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 3
DER
27%
21%
53%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DER
5 - 1
LIV
63%
18%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DER
5 - 1
LIV
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 1
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |