Wollongong Wolves vs Manly United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wollongong Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
0 - 0
NWS
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CCM
3 - 2
WOL
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 2
ROC
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 5
WOL
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 0
SGS
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SYD
0 - 2
MAN
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
STG
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NWS
4 - 2
MAN
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
SUT
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAR
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |