Wolfsburg vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
14º
11º
40
4º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
WOL
40%
24%
36%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 1
AUG
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 0
BVB
14%
19%
68%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
STP
0 - 0
WOL
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 4
BRE
43%
25%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 0
SCF
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCU
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 99 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 0
FCU
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
EIN
27%
23%
49%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 2
FCU
30%
26%
44%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |