Woden Valley vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Woden Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WOD
4 - 3
COE
23%
21%
57%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
COO
5 - 1
WOD
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WOD
1 - 2
CAN
12%
17%
71%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WOD
4 - 2
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
WOD
1 - 2
BEL
11%
16%
73%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
TUG
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
BEL
6%
12%
82%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 2
MON
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
BEL
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WOD
4 - 2
MON
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |