Woden Valley vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Woden Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
CAN
4 - 0
WOD
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 65 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
WOD
1 - 2
ANU
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
CAN
2 - 1
WOD
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 66 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
WOD
2 - 1
TUG
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
GOU
6 - 0
WOD
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
COO
1 - 0
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MON
0 - 4
CAN
18%
25%
56%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
CAN
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
TUG
1 - 5
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
GOU
1 - 2
MON
20%
24%
57%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |