WNC vs MZC '11 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.5%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.1%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
2.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WNC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SHO
0 - 3
WNC
75%
14%
11%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
WNC
1 - 3
KLO
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
NIE
0 - 0
WNC
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
WNC
4 - 4
GRC
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
WNC
2 - 1
HEI
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
MZC '11
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MZC
1 - 2
ORA
6%
12%
83%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
OMA
2 - 2
MZC
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MZC
1 - 1
HEI
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MZC
0 - 3
KLO
6%
12%
83%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
3 - 0
MZC
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |