FA Trophy 1/512
Global 4-2
Witton Albion vs Ossett Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Witton Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
WIT
2 - 4
BAM
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UNM
3 - 1
WIT
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
WIT
4 - 1
BRI
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WIT
2 - 3
KEN
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
WIT
2 - 1
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ossett Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
OSS
0 - 3
WAR
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OSS
2 - 1
HAR
33%
24%
44%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
OSS
1 - 0
DRO
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DRO
2 - 1
OSS
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SPE
3 - 0
OSS
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |