Bidvest Wits vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bidvest Wits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
BID
49%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
BID
1 - 3
CHI
34%
28%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
BID
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BID
2 - 0
BLO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
BID
2 - 2
BLA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 0
BLA
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
GOL
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 0
SUN
31%
26%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 0
GOL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 1
PRE
61%
21%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |