UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 1-5
Wisla Kraków vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
WIS
4 - 0
POL
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
WIS
3 - 0
WIT
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
WIS
5 - 1
GOR
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
WIT
2 - 8
WIS
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
LPO
2 - 2
WIS
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
RMA
1 - 4
RSO
76%
15%
10%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MUR
2 - 1
RMA
12%
20%
69%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
RMA
2 - 3
MLL
79%
13%
8%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
DEP
2 - 0
RMA
37%
24%
39%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
67%
18%
15%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |