Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-4
Wisla Kraków vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
WIS
5 - 0
FAS
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 2
WIS
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
WIS
1 - 1
OWD
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 1
WIS
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
WAR
0 - 3
WIS
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
QAR
1 - 1
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
QAR
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
QAR
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
QAR
4 - 1
MET
58%
24%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SHA
4 - 1
QAR
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |