UCL Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Wisla Kraków vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
RCH
3 - 0
WIS
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
ARK
4 - 2
WIS
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
WIS
4 - 1
LPO
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
ZAG
1 - 0
WIS
47%
28%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
WIS
1 - 1
ZBR
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
MFF
2 - 0
DYN
33%
27%
41%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 0
MFF
48%
27%
26%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
MFF
1 - 0
GÖT
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
DYN
0 - 0
MFF
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
MFF
0 - 2
ORE
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |