UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 5-2
Wisla Kraków vs Litex Lovech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
WLO
1 - 1
WIS
38%
27%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 2
WIS
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
WIS
2 - 0
FCS
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 1
WIS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
FLO
2 - 2
WIS
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 3
CSK
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
LOV
1 - 2
WIS
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
LOV
3 - 0
MOG
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
MOG
1 - 2
LOV
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
LOV
0 - 0
KAL
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |