Cup Poland Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Wisla Kraków vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
WIS
5 - 1
ARK
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
POG
6 - 2
WIS
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
WIS
3 - 2
GOR
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
ZAL
2 - 2
WIS
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
LPO
1 - 1
WIS
43%
25%
31%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
ZAL
0 - 3
LPO
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LPO
3 - 0
SLA
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
RCH
0 - 5
LPO
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LPO
2 - 0
PLO
63%
23%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
LPO
1 - 1
WIS
43%
25%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |