Cup Poland Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Wisla Kraków vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GKS
0 - 0
WIS
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ZAL
4 - 1
WIS
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
WIS
1 - 3
GÓR
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
RCH
1 - 2
WIS
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
WIS
1 - 0
SLA
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
POD
4 - 0
JAG
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
RCH
1 - 1
JAG
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
JAG
2 - 2
GKS
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SLA
3 - 3
JAG
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
JAG
0 - 0
KOR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |