UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 11-2
Wisla Kraków vs WIT Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
WIS
5 - 1
GOR
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
WIT
2 - 8
WIS
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
LPO
2 - 2
WIS
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
WIS
4 - 1
POL
65%
20%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2004 |
GOR
0 - 1
WIS
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
WIT Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
KOL
1 - 2
WIT
28%
27%
44%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2004 |
WIT
2 - 8
WIS
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
HBT
3 - 0
WIT
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
WIT
5 - 0
HBT
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
SIO
0 - 2
WIT
37%
27%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |