UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 3-5
Wisla Kraków vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
54.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
WLO
3 - 2
WIS
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
WIS
1 - 0
FCS
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
WIS
2 - 2
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
FCS
1 - 2
WIS
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
KSZ
0 - 1
WIS
24%
26%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
FCB
1 - 1
CEL
69%
18%
13%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2001 |
CEL
3 - 1
FCB
40%
25%
36%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
FCB
3 - 2
VCF
61%
21%
19%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
VAD
2 - 2
FCB
23%
24%
53%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
FCB
0 - 1
OVI
82%
12%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |