UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 1-4
Wisla Kraków vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
WIS
2 - 0
GÓR
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
WIS
4 - 0
SWI
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
AND
3 - 1
WIS
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
POL
0 - 2
WIS
25%
25%
50%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
OMO
2 - 2
WIS
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
AND
3 - 0
STR
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 3
AND
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
AND
3 - 1
WIS
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
AND
3 - 1
ANT
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
AND
3 - 2
RAP
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |