Winterthur vs SC Bruhl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
WIN
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 4
WIL
36%
26%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 1
WIN
21%
21%
58%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
LUG
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ETO
0 - 2
WIN
29%
24%
48%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SC Bruhl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SCB
2 - 3
FCV
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STA
2 - 2
SCB
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TER
2 - 5
SCB
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SCB
1 - 3
STG
12%
20%
68%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
KRI
7 - 1
SCB
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |