Winterthur vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
12º
5º
44
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
WIN
3 - 1
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
WIN
5 - 0
BAD
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
WIN
5 - 0
SCB
74%
16%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCA
39%
23%
39%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
WIN
7 - 0
YFJ
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 1
EXC
65%
19%
15%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 0
SCH
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 2
FCL
26%
25%
50%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 1
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |