Winterthur vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
50
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
WIN
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 0
STG
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GCZ
2 - 1
WIN
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 1
YOB
14%
19%
67%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
WIN
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 2
SIO
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ZUR
2 - 1
FCL
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SER
0 - 3
FCL
35%
26%
38%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
0 - 1
BAS
29%
25%
47%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |