Winterthur vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SER
1 - 3
WIN
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCL
24%
21%
55%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
WIN
4 - 0
MEY
73%
17%
11%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
FCL
2 - 0
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
WIN
4 - 0
LUG
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCL
24%
21%
55%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAU
78%
14%
7%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
FCL
2 - 0
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
MEY
2 - 3
FCL
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
FCL
3 - 3
YFJ
73%
17%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |