Winterthur vs Grasshopper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
12º
5º
30
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
YVE
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 2
WIN
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 1
WIN
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STG
2 - 2
WIN
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
FCL
30%
24%
45%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
GCZ
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GCZ
0 - 1
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GCZ
2 - 1
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 0
GCZ
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GCZ
0 - 1
WIN
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |