Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
43.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 2
THU
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
STA
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 0
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 0
WIN
48%
22%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 1
CHI
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
WIL
7 - 0
FCA
17%
22%
61%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 1
CHI
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCA
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 0
WIN
48%
22%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 0
SCH
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |