Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
WIN
5 - 0
SCB
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
WIN
3 - 1
STU
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
FCL
2 - 4
WIN
63%
20%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2019 |
ZUR
2 - 2
WIN
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
WIN
3 - 2
SCH
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
FCA
7 - 0
SOL
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
BAD
2 - 3
FCA
7%
12%
81%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
KLI
2 - 7
FCA
3%
7%
90%
|
69 | 14 | 55 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCA
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
FCA
0 - 4
NEX
49%
23%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -2 |