Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2018 |
SER
4 - 2
WIN
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 1
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
NEX
3 - 3
WIN
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
FCV
1 - 1
WIN
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 3
WIL
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 2
WIL
55%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
RAP
2 - 3
FCA
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
WOH
1 - 3
FCA
19%
22%
58%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 2
SER
45%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 2
FCA
29%
25%
45%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |