Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
ZUR
2 - 0
WIN
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
WIN
4 - 2
UNM
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 5
FCN
20%
22%
58%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
WIN
2 - 0
SCB
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
WIN
4 - 2
CHA
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
GCZ
2 - 2
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
FCA
4 - 0
SVS
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
THU
0 - 3
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 3
SCH
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |