Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
WOH
0 - 2
WIN
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
WIN
2 - 1
LEM
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIN
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FCA
3 - 0
WIN
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
LEM
2 - 0
WIN
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEM
1 - 1
FCA
25%
25%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 2
NEX
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BIE
1 - 3
FCA
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FCA
3 - 0
WIN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCA
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |