Winterthur vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LAU
0 - 2
WIN
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 0
WIN
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 1
BIE
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NEX
1 - 0
WIN
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
THU
0 - 0
FCA
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIL
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 0
SCH
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCA
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LAC
0 - 3
FCA
20%
21%
59%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |