Winterthur vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
WIN
2 - 0
LEM
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 4
WIN
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 3
WIN
9%
17%
74%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
0 - 2
WOH
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
WIN
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
RMA
5 - 1
BAS
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GCZ
3 - 1
BAS
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 1
YOB
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 4
BAS
5%
13%
82%
|
85 | 30 | 55 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SIO
2 - 3
BAS
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |