Winterthur U16 vs Team Aargau U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
13.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
9º
8º
20
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 5
WNT
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WNT
4 - 0
TTC
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
WNT
25%
20%
55%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WNT
2 - 4
SFC
17%
17%
66%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
WNT
0 - 4
GRA
31%
22%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Team Aargau U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TMA
1 - 4
FCB
6%
11%
83%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NXA
1 - 0
TMA
31%
20%
49%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TMA
0 - 4
STG
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TMA
2 - 4
LUZ
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TMA
2 - 1
TTC
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |