Winterthur U16 vs FC Luzern U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
9º
8º
46
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TTC
1 - 2
WNT
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WNT
3 - 0
FCS
77%
13%
9%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SFC
4 - 3
WNT
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
TMA
2 - 3
WNT
57%
20%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
TMV
3 - 2
WNT
53%
21%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Luzern U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
3 - 4
YNB
39%
22%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NXA
2 - 2
LUZ
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
LUZ
6 - 1
FCS
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUZ
57%
19%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 3
LUZ
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |