Winterthur U16 vs FC Luzern U16 analysis


22	ELO	25
2.7%	Tilt	2.1%
9738º	General ELO ranking	8582º
170º	Country ELO ranking	139º
ELO win probability

45.1%

Winterthur U16

21.7%

Draw

33.2%

FC Luzern U16

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

45.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%

21.7%

Draw

0-0

2.7%

1-1

8.8%

2-2

7.1%

3-3

2.5%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

21.7%

33.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%