Winterthur U16 vs FC Basel U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
73%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
9º
8º
56
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WNT
3 - 0
FCT
77%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TMV
3 - 1
WNT
61%
19%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WNT
0 - 0
FCZ
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STG
1 - 3
WNT
41%
21%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
YNB
3 - 1
WNT
66%
17%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Basel U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YNB
3 - 3
FCB
28%
20%
52%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 0
NXA
94%
5%
2%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
LUZ
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TTC
1 - 4
FCB
5%
10%
85%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
4 - 3
FCS
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |