Winterthur II vs FC Basel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
72%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
FCZ
0 - 2
WIN
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WIN
3 - 2
MUT
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LAU
2 - 0
WIN
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
WIN
1 - 1
SOL
31%
23%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MUN
5 - 0
WIN
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCG
75%
16%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HON
1 - 4
BAS
13%
17%
70%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 1
DEL
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
7 - 1
SVS
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FCZ
2 - 0
BAS
19%
20%
61%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |