Wingate & Finchley vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 2
HEM
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
HEM
0 - 0
WIN
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 1
ENF
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 0
BUR
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
WIN
4 - 2
HEN
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
WOR
2 - 2
STA
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
DOR
4 - 2
WOR
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 5
MAR
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
DOR
3 - 2
WOR
57%
22%
22%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
BUR
4 - 1
WOR
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |