Wingate & Finchley vs Weston-super-Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BUR
0 - 1
WIN
46%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 2
CAN
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
2 - 1
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
ENF
2 - 0
WIN
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 0
WIN
30%
24%
45%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Weston-super-Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
WES
71%
17%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HOO
1 - 2
WES
21%
22%
58%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
EBB
2 - 1
WES
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WES
0 - 2
SUT
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -3 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
WES
2 - 2
WHI
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |