Wingate & Finchley vs Wealdstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 0
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
WIN
0 - 1
THU
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CON
4 - 1
WIN
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 4
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CAN
3 - 2
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Wealdstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
WEA
2 - 1
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
WEA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
THU
0 - 0
WEA
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WHI
1 - 1
WEA
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MET
0 - 1
WEA
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |