Wingate & Finchley vs Ware analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ILF
1 - 0
WIN
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 0
WIN
38%
24%
37%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
WIN
0 - 1
WIV
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
POT
2 - 2
WIN
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WIN
1 - 0
AVE
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
WAR
2 - 1
CAN
18%
24%
58%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
WAR
1 - 1
WAL
64%
20%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ILF
2 - 6
WAR
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 1
WAR
67%
18%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
WAR
3 - 3
ARL
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |