Wingate & Finchley vs Walthamstow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 2
WIN
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
MAL
3 - 1
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
3 - 0
SIT
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 1
HAR
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WIV
5 - 2
WIN
55%
22%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Walthamstow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
WAL
3 - 1
FAF
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
DAR
2 - 0
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
1 - 0
WIV
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
WAL
58%
22%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 3
EAS
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |